We'reCrisis-Level Fucked.

We are extremely fucked, with receipts, with multiple serious systems deteriorating inside the same frame.

0.0

Crisis-Level Fucked

Live global severity index

56% confidence

Drivers

What moved the meter

natural disaster

+10.0

M 7.8 - 26 km SW of Kablalan, Philippines

7.8 magnitude earthquake near 26 km SW of Kablalan, Philippines.

2 days ago

usgs

public health

+9.6

Hantavirus cluster linked to cruise ship travel, Multi-country

This is the third Disease Outbreak News report on the hantavirus cluster, following the notification to the World Health Organization (WHO) on 2 May 2026 of severe respiratory illness cases aboard MV Hondius, a cruise ship. Since the last DON was published on 8 May, two additional confirmed cases were reported from France and Spain. In addition, there is one inconclusive result for a case in the United States of America. All were passengers on the ship. As of 13 May, a total of 11 cases, including three deaths, have been reported (case fatality ratio 27%). Eight cases were laboratory-confirmed for Andes virus (ANDV) infection, two are probable, and one case remains inconclusive and undergoing further testing. Through the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR) channels, National IHR Focal Points (NFPs) have all been informed and are supporting international contact tracing efforts. WHO has assessed the risk posed by this event to the global population as low and will continue to monitor the epidemiological situation and update the risk assessment as needed.

28 days ago

who_don

public health

+9.6

Hantavirus outbreak linked to cruise ship travel, Multi-locations

This is the fourth Disease Outbreak News report on the Andes hantavirus outbreak linked to cruise ship travel, following the notification to the World Health Organization (WHO) on 2 May 2026 of severe respiratory illness cases aboard M/V Hondius, a cruise ship. Since the last DON was published on 13 May, three additional confirmed cases were reported, from Canada, the Netherlands, and Spain. The previously reported inconclusive case from the United States of America was subsequently determined to be negative following further laboratory testing and has been removed from the total case count. All cases to date have been passengers or crew members on the ship. As of 27 May, a total of 13 cases, including three deaths, have been reported (case fatality ratio 23%). Eleven cases have been laboratory-confirmed for Andes virus (ANDV) infection, and two are probable cases. Given the long incubation period of up to six weeks, it is not unexpected that cases continue to be reported until the end of the six weeks since last exposure. Through the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR) channels, National IHR Focal Points (NFPs) have all been informed and are supporting international contact tracing and monitoring efforts. WHO has assessed the risk posed by this event to the global population as low and will continue to monitor the epidemiological situation and update the risk assessment as needed.

13 days ago

who_don

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

usgs2 days agonatural disasterGlobal

M 7.8 - 26 km SW of Kablalan, Philippines

7.8 magnitude earthquake near 26 km SW of Kablalan, Philippines.

100.0

Open source
who_don28 days agopublic healthGlobal

Hantavirus cluster linked to cruise ship travel, Multi-country

This is the third Disease Outbreak News report on the hantavirus cluster, following the notification to the World Health Organization (WHO) on 2 May 2026 of severe respiratory illness cases aboard MV Hondius, a cruise ship. Since the last DON was published on 8 May, two additional confirmed cases were reported from France and Spain. In addition, there is one inconclusive result for a case in the United States of America. All were passengers on the ship. As of 13 May, a total of 11 cases, including three deaths, have been reported (case fatality ratio 27%). Eight cases were laboratory-confirmed for Andes virus (ANDV) infection, two are probable, and one case remains inconclusive and undergoing further testing. Through the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR) channels, National IHR Focal Points (NFPs) have all been informed and are supporting international contact tracing efforts. WHO has assessed the risk posed by this event to the global population as low and will continue to monitor the epidemiological situation and update the risk assessment as needed.

95.9

Open source
who_don13 days agopublic healthGlobal

Hantavirus outbreak linked to cruise ship travel, Multi-locations

This is the fourth Disease Outbreak News report on the Andes hantavirus outbreak linked to cruise ship travel, following the notification to the World Health Organization (WHO) on 2 May 2026 of severe respiratory illness cases aboard M/V Hondius, a cruise ship. Since the last DON was published on 13 May, three additional confirmed cases were reported, from Canada, the Netherlands, and Spain. The previously reported inconclusive case from the United States of America was subsequently determined to be negative following further laboratory testing and has been removed from the total case count. All cases to date have been passengers or crew members on the ship. As of 27 May, a total of 13 cases, including three deaths, have been reported (case fatality ratio 23%). Eleven cases have been laboratory-confirmed for Andes virus (ANDV) infection, and two are probable cases. Given the long incubation period of up to six weeks, it is not unexpected that cases continue to be reported until the end of the six weeks since last exposure. Through the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR) channels, National IHR Focal Points (NFPs) have all been informed and are supporting international contact tracing and monitoring efforts. WHO has assessed the risk posed by this event to the global population as low and will continue to monitor the epidemiological situation and update the risk assessment as needed.

95.7

Open source
who_donabout 1 month agopublic healthGlobal

Hantavirus cluster linked to cruise ship travel, Multi-country

On 2 May 2026, a cluster of passengers with severe respiratory illness aboard a cruise ship was reported to the World Health Organization (WHO). At that time, according to the ship operator, 147 passengers and crew were onboard, and 34 passengers and crew had previously disembarked. Since the last Disease Outbreak News published on 4 May, three of the suspected cases were confirmed, and one additional confirmed case was reported. As of 8 May, a total of eight cases, including three deaths (case fatality ratio 38%), have been reported. Six cases have been laboratory-confirmed as hantavirus infections, with all identified as Andes virus (ANDV). Through the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR) channel, National IHR Focal Points (NFPs) have all been informed and are supporting international contact tracing. WHO assesses the risk to the global population posed by this event as low and will continue to monitor the epidemiological situation and update the risk assessment. The risk for passengers and crew on the ship is considered moderate.

94.0

Open source

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

62.4

Heavy pressure

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

46.9

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

84.6

Critical pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

94.6

Critical pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

69.9

Heavy pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

28.0

Active

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

45.7

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

44.6

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Context

What is holding this reading up

  • Public health is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 281 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Live inputs now include USGS Earthquake Catalog, Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality, WHO Disease Outbreak News, World Bank macro indicators, Current news signal.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-0.2

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-09 03:34 UTC.

7d

+1.1

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-03 03:34 UTC.

30d

+0.3

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-05-11 03:34 UTC.

Rankings

Most and least fucked tracked countries

Most fucked

Tracked top 5
01

Iran

Broadly Fucked

65.7

-7.2 vs global

02

Germany

Deeply Fucked

63.0

-9.9 vs global

03

Ukraine

Intensely Fucked

61.5

-11.4 vs global

04

Russia

Deeply Fucked

61.4

-11.5 vs global

05

Türkiye

Alarmingly Fucked

60.5

-12.4 vs global

Least fucked

Tracked bottom 5
01

United Kingdom

Low-Grade Fucked

11.9

-61.0 vs global
02

South Africa

Only Slightly Fucked

15.0

-57.9 vs global
03

France

Lightly Fucked

18.5

-54.4 vs global
04

Brazil

Clearly Fucked

20.4

-52.5 vs global
05

India

Noticeably Fucked

20.9

-52.0 vs global

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

80 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 2 minutes ago

Latency: 2262 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

degraded

17 monitoring points failed during refresh.

Last success: 3 minutes ago

Latency: 4783 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 2 days ago

Latency: 8167 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

15 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 2 months ago

Latency: 2192 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

169 classified headline signals captured across 22 successful countries.

Last success: 2 minutes ago

Latency: 6037 ms