We'reCritically Fucked.

The data has reached the part where sober people swear, with severe signals stacking instead of taking turns.

0.0

Critically Fucked

Live global severity index

56% confidence

Drivers

What moved the meter

conflict security

+9.2

Mediators see progress in efforts to halt Iran war as drone attacks rattle region

AP News reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

about 8 hours ago

current_news

conflict security

+9.2

How Iran adapted its missile war with Trump

Financial Times reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

about 5 hours ago

current_news

conflict security

+9.2

‘We Did Not Start Any War’: Putin Again Denies Russia’s Responsibility for Ukraine Invasion

Kyiv Post reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Russia.

about 2 hours ago

current_news

Key headlines

Evidence shaping the score

current_newsabout 8 hours agoconflict securityIR

Mediators see progress in efforts to halt Iran war as drone attacks rattle region

AP News reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

current_newsabout 5 hours agoconflict securityIR

How Iran adapted its missile war with Trump

Financial Times reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Iran.

current_newsabout 2 hours agoconflict securityRU, UA

‘We Did Not Start Any War’: Putin Again Denies Russia’s Responsibility for Ukraine Invasion

Kyiv Post reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Russia.

current_newsabout 12 hours agoconflict securityUA, US

Pentagon says US industry still years from matching Ukraine's wartime drone output

Reuters reported a recent conflict security signal connected to Ukraine.

Drivers

Domain breakdown

Conflict & security

Share of overall score 22%

61.7

Heavy pressure

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Civil unrest

Share of overall score 14%

44.4

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Macroeconomic stress

Share of overall score 14%

80.0

Critical pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Public health

Share of overall score 10%

82.1

Critical pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Natural disasters

Share of overall score 13%

62.8

Heavy pressure

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Climate & environment

Share of overall score 10%

38.0

Elevated

High confidence

Confidence 90%

Cyber & infrastructure

Share of overall score 9%

31.7

Active

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Governance

Share of overall score 8%

43.9

Elevated

Limited confidence

Confidence 54%

Context

What is holding this reading up

  • Public health is currently the hottest live lane.
  • 292 live evidence items are shaping this reading across 8 covered domains.
  • Live inputs now include USGS Earthquake Catalog, Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality, WHO Disease Outbreak News, World Bank macro indicators, Current news signal.

Trend

Score drift

24h

-0.5

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-27 03:34 UTC.

7d

+0.1

up

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-07-21 03:34 UTC.

30d

-3.9

down

Compared with stored snapshot from 2026-06-28 03:34 UTC.

Integrity

Source health and freshness

USGS Earthquake Catalog

Freshness: live-ish

operational

80 earthquakes returned in the current 7-day query window.

Last success: 9 minutes ago

Latency: 662 ms

Open-Meteo Weather & Air Quality

Freshness: live-ish

degraded

7 monitoring points failed during refresh.

Last success: 9 minutes ago

Latency: 609 ms

GDELT Global Event Monitor

Freshness: stale

offline

Request timed out after 8000 ms

Last success: None yet

Latency: n/a

WHO Disease Outbreak News

Freshness: live-ish

operational

12 outbreak bulletins parsed from the current WHO feed.

Last success: 11 days ago

Latency: 484 ms

World Bank macro indicators

Freshness: fresh

operational

13 country macro snapshots cleared the stress threshold.

Last success: 15 days ago

Latency: 292 ms

Current news signal

Freshness: live-ish

operational

172 classified headline signals captured across 22 successful countries.

Last success: 9 minutes ago

Latency: 958 ms